In the financial landscape, Bitcoin stands out as one of the few major assets that have failed to keep pace with broader market gains. This underperformance comes despite strong underlying fundamentals, where its price is being governed by the mechanics of hedging and synthetic leverage rather than the conviction of its holders. Network security remains strong, long-term holders continue to dominate supply, and institutional access has never been broader.
How This Cycle Looks Different For Bitcoin
There’s no satisfying explanation for one of the strangest market outcomes of the year. An entrepreneur, Bitcoin investor, and founder of Wealth Mastery, Lark Davis, has mentioned on X that Bitcoin is the only asset underperforming, while gold and stocks are printing all-time highs, and 2025 was supposed to be the golden moment for BTC.
Davis highlighted that in 2025, the United States had a pro-BTC administration for the first time in history, and there was demand for the cryptocurrency and peak adoption from institutions and nation-states. Macro conditions turned supportive, and Wall Street has effectively rolled out the red carpet for BTC.
At the same time, Michael Saylor’s Strategy purchased a BTC supply greater than the average daily production of miners. Despite all this bullishness, BTC is still down 6% from its yearly open and still around 30% below its all-time high. Meanwhile, the rest of the crypto looks worse as altcoins have been crushed, with many down 80% to 90% over the last two years.
The 2026 Bitcoin chart will be the most important to watch. A full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades, highlighted that Global liquidity is the metric to watch for BTC’s long-term performance. It’s not a holy grail that works every single day, but there are shorter-term deviations right now.
When overlaying global liquidity growth with long-term price performance, it shows that the peaks and troughs align with remarkable accuracy. Daan believes that this BTC setup is more important than a rate cut, and the overall stock market performance will reveal a good signal.
Whale Accumulation While The Market Hesitates
While fear dominates across the market, a whale has been quietly buying BTC since yesterday. Crypto educator Wilberforce Theophilus revealed that over the past 24 hours, more than 2,509.2 BTC, which is approximately $221 million worth of BTC, has been accumulated.
According to Wilberforce, December 2020 was objectively worse than today, but in January 2021, BTC was $1 and then rallied to $19,000. December 2025 doesn’t stand out as extremely bearish when viewed through a long-term lens. “I have just one piece of advice: HODL and WAIT,” the expert noted.
