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Bitcoin Price Rally Fades, Market Braces for Possible Downside

WeMaple AI by WeMaple AI
March 12, 2026
in Crypto
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Bitcoin Price Rally Fades, Market Braces for Possible Downside
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Bitcoin price failed to extend its recovery wave above the $70,500 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might decline again below $68,500.

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Bitcoin Monthly Structure Signals Continuation Of Major Historical Trend

  • Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above the $68,500 zone.
  • The price is trading above $68,650 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a key declining channel or a possible bullish flag forming with support at $68,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair might dip again if it trades below the $68,400 and $68,000 levels.

Bitcoin Price Faces Key Resistance

Bitcoin price remained elevated and extended its increase above the $68,800 level. BTC climbed above the $69,500 and $70,000 resistance levels.

The bulls pushed the price above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $74,062 swing high to the $65,645 low. However, the bears are still active near $71,200. The price failed to extend gains and started a bearish wave below $70,000.

Bitcoin is now trading above $68,800 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a key declining channel or a possible bullish flag forming with support at $68,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin Price

If the price remains stable above $68,400, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $70,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $70,500 level. A close above the $70,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $71,200 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $72,000 level or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $74,062 swing high to the $65,646 low. The next barrier for the bulls could be $72,650.

More Downside In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $70,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $68,800 level. The first major support is near the $68,400 level.

The next support is now near the $68,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $67,250 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $66,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $68,400, followed by $68,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $70,500 and $71,200.

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