XRP is struggling to push above current levels. The market is uncertain. And the chart is not offering any comfort — three moving averages sit above the current price, each one a layer of resistance the market has not found the strength to challenge.
A CryptoQuant report tracking XRP’s technical structure on Binance has produced a reading that leaves little room for interpretation. The 30-day moving average stands at approximately $1.40. The 90-day moving average sits near $1.64. The 200-day moving average is at $2.06. The current price is below all three — not approaching them, not testing them, but trading beneath each one simultaneously across the short, medium, and long-term timeframes.
That alignment has a name in technical analysis. It is a bearish stack — a configuration in which every major trend reference the market uses to orient itself is pointing in the same direction. Sellers are in control across every timeframe. Buyers have not demonstrated the sustained demand required to reclaim even the nearest average.
The first threshold that matters is $1.40. Not because reclaiming it resolves the situation — it does not — but because without it, the medium and long-term averages above remain irrelevant. The recovery, if it comes, must start there.
XRP Cannot Fix Its Own Chart. It Needs Bitcoin to Help.
The report adds a dimension to the technical picture that the moving average structure alone cannot capture. XRP’s correlation with Bitcoin currently stands at approximately 0.87 — a reading that describes near-total directional alignment between the two assets. XRP is not trading on its own fundamentals, its own on-chain developments, or its own demand dynamics in any meaningful independent sense. It is trading as a high-beta expression of wherever Bitcoin goes next.
That dependency cuts both ways, and the report names both directions honestly. If Bitcoin continues to struggle — capped below $70,000, under whale selling pressure, lacking upside momentum — that weakness will transmit directly to XRP, adding a second layer of downward force on top of an already bearish technical structure. If Bitcoin stages a sustained rally, that momentum will carry XRP with it, potentially providing the external catalyst the chart cannot generate internally.
The verdict the report delivers is unambiguous. XRP remains under clear technical pressure. The downtrend is continuing. Sellers are in control across every timeframe. Nothing in the current data suggests that the condition is about to change on its own.
The one number that changes the conversation is $1.40. Reclaiming the 30-day moving average does not end the downtrend. It signals, for the first time, that the momentum behind it may be slowing — and that is the only first step available from here.
XRP Tests Breakdown Zone as Long-Term Structure Weakens
On the weekly timeframe, XRP is now trading near $1.35 after a sharp rejection from the $3.00–$3.50 region, confirming a decisive loss of bullish momentum. The chart shows a clear transition from expansion to distribution, followed by a breakdown that has brought price back into a historically significant range.
Price is currently sitting below the 50-week moving average, which has started to slope downward, signaling weakening short-term structure. The 100-week moving average is also above the current price and flattening, while the 200-week moving average remains lower but is now the next key support to monitor. This alignment reflects a market that is no longer trending upward and is instead attempting to find a new equilibrium.
The rejection from the recent highs was accompanied by increased volume, suggesting strong participation during the distribution phase. In contrast, the current consolidation is occurring with relatively lower volume, indicating reduced conviction from both buyers and sellers.
Importantly, XRP is now testing a zone that previously acted as resistance during 2021–2022 and later flipped into support. Whether this level holds will likely determine the medium-term direction. A sustained break below could open the path for a deeper retrace, while stabilization here may form the basis for a longer accumulation phase.
Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
