XRP has lagged behind a modest rebound in the wider crypto market, even as the total market cap climbed by $20 billion this week. According to chartist analysis, the token’s recent calm may be part of a longer pattern that has, in past cycles, ended with sharp gains. Traders watching XRP’s swings are being told the real challenge is holding through slow stretches rather than reacting to short-term price moves.
Part Sequence Cited As Historical Pattern
According to reports from an analyst known as Cryptollica, XRP’s price history can be split into a four-part sequence that often precedes big rallies. The first known cycle ran from 2014 into 2017, when XRP bottomed at $0.002 in July 2014 and then formed higher lows while trading above an upward support line.
The analyst argues that time and patience is the real obstacle facing XRP holders, not price swings. Long periods of flat movement can drain confidence, even when the broader structure remains intact. XRP has spent months moving sideways after its rise to $3.4, and this slow pace is described as the phase where many investors lose patience and exit early, long before any major move begins.
They Shake You Out in “PART 3”
So You Watch in “PART 4”.The biggest enemy of an $XRP holder is not price, it is TIME. Stick to the structure (Fractal):
2014-2017: Part 1, 2, & 3 executed
Result: Rally.
2021-2026: Part 1, 2, & 3 executed
The… pic.twitter.com/thxMqFsRWk
— Cryptollica
(@Cryptollica) January 12, 2026
Based on the same analysis, earlier XRP cycles followed a similar path. Price stayed quiet for extended stretches, then moved fast once the waiting phase ended. The message is blunt: nothing may look wrong on the chart, but the delay itself becomes the pressure. For those holding XRP near $2.05, the challenge is not avoiding losses, but enduring the wait without reacting to boredom or frustration.
XRP’s Current Run Mirrors Past Phases
Cryptollica maps a similar pattern onto more recent history. Part 1 is marked from a March 2020 low of $0.114, with higher lows forming until late 2024. Part 2, according to the charts, began in November 2024 when the token jumped from around $0.5 and peaked near $3.4 in January 2025.
Since that peak, XRP has pulled back and entered what the analyst calls Part 3 — a consolidation phase that some holders find dull but which, based on the model, can set the stage for a final upward leg.
Bull Case Pinned To Time And Utility
Cryptollica projects that when the cycle moves into Part 4, XRP could run toward $8, which would be roughly a 290% rise from a current price near $2.05. Reports also highlight views from Bird, a developer in the XRP Ledger ecosystem, who has argued that XRP should be considered for long-term savings plans.
XRP should be considered as part of your life saving plans.
Most people keep their money in banks earning around 4–6% a year and feel comfortable doing so, but they rarely factor in inflation.
Over time, the buying power of the US dollar and the British pound for example has…
— Bird (@Bird_XRPL) January 11, 2026
Bird pointed out that common bank accounts offering 4–6% returns may not keep up with rising everyday costs and suggested that regulatory clarity and growing use cases could support demand for the token.
Tokenization, ETFs And Stablecoins In Focus
The developer and other proponents link potential future demand to several trends: tokenizing real-world assets on the XRPL, the arrival of institutional ETFs, and new stablecoins such as RLUSD.
These developments are cited as possible sources of steady capital inflows that would help sustain higher prices. At the same time, reports urge caution: patterns that worked before are not guarantees, and time can be costly for holders who sell during protracted quiet periods.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
