Bitcoin (BTC) is grinding higher above the $71K–72K zone, shrugging off a stronger dollar, surging oil and Middle East war jitters while global stocks wobble.
A Modest Win For Bitcoin
During the London morning, bitcoin held firm near the top of the day’s range while regional equity indices traded mixed and volatility in energy and FX markets remained elevated. European desks saw dip‑buying interest each time BTC approached the $71K handle, suggesting that buyers are willing to defend this area despite the macro noise.
Bitcoin’s resilience stands out as the Iran war has pushed oil sharply higher and raised the risk of a full‑blown energy shock, with some officials warning crude could even test the far higher levels of $200 a barrel if the Strait of Hormuz disruption worsens, as seen in a statement issued by Iran on Wednesday. This slight surge supports the idea that BTC has passed the first stress test of the Iran shock and its aftermath.
Historically, such spikes in energy and inflation expectations have been bad news for Bitcoin, as tighter financial conditions sap liquidity from speculative assets. Yet, BTC is now consolidating near the upper end of its recent range instead of revisiting the lows seen on earlier Middle East headlines. This doesn’t come as a surprise for traders closely following the leading cryptocurrency movement around the Iran geopolitical conflict. As reported on an article from yesterday, “Bitcoin tends to respond positively when macro conditions become more supportive of risk assets”.
Caution Continues To Be Wise
Despite this positive trend, traders should not (yet) claim victory. As reported yesterday by our sister website NewsBTC, Mike McGlone, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Commodity Strategist, warned that bitcoin could still fall back toward and potentially below the $10,000 area. As he argues, BTC remains trapped in a “broader macro unwind tied to deflationary pressure, overstretched risk assets and what he described as excess across the digital-asset complex”.
For now, McGlone believes that bitcoin is still behaving like risk assets in a bear phase, which fuels the narrative that bitcoin is no longer behaving like the “digital gold” it has been claimed to be.
While geopolitical chaos continues to roil both RWAs and digital assets, traders would do well seeing each bitcoin bounce as a rally into volatility, not as hard evidence that the tide has definitively turned in BTC’s favor.
Cover image from Perplexity, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview
