The XRP price traded at around $1.30 on Monday as markets consolidated and Bitcoin (BTC) fought to hold above $67,000, but the calm belies meaningful downside risk if BTC revisits its key support at $60,000, according to market analyst Sam Daodu.
Key Levels For XRP Price
In his latest report, Daodu warns that XRP’s price action tends to amplify Bitcoin moves. He noted that this year the XRP price has behaved with roughly a 1.8-to-1 correlation to BTC’s declines. That means XRP is vulnerable to a steep retracement if BTC loses ground.
On XRP’s outlook, Daodu points to a sequence of support levels that could determine how far losses extend. The immediate floor is at about $1.28, where 443 million XRP have been accumulated by holders who have stepped in on dips.
If that level breaks, buying interest thins, and the next material support is around $1.11 — the low seen in February. Beneath $1.11, Daodu identifies $1.00 as the next notable cushion for the XRP price, with a deeper support cluster near $0.82, which would mean a near 40% decline for the altcoin on top of current losses.
The analyst asserts that once $1.28 gives way, a rapid slide to $1.11 could follow, and if that fails, a drop toward $1.00 or lower would be possible because there are few bids between those levels.
What Could Push BTC Back To $60,000
Daodu’s scenario hinges on Bitcoin revisiting $60,000, a test he regards as the most important support for BTC so far this cycle. He cites macro drivers that could pressure Bitcoin, notably the conflict in Iran and elevated oil prices.
“As long as oil stays above $100 and the war keeps escalating, Bitcoin stays under pressure,” he said, framing those geopolitical and commodity dynamics as key determinants of Bitcoin’s near-term path.
There are, however, events that could help decouple the XRP price from Bitcoin’s movements. Daodu highlights two potential catalysts: the passage of the long-anticipated CLARITY Act and renewed inflows into spot crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Passage of the CLARITY Act would, in his view, create a legal framework enabling institutions to use XRP for settlement at scale. Likewise, sustained ETF inflows would produce consistent buying pressure that could support XRP’s price.
At the time of writing, the XRP price was at $1.32, having recorded a 8% weekly loss, according to CoinGecko data.
Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
